El Niño is already affecting Kenya’s weather, with unusual patterns reported as the country readies for a stronger October–December 2026 rainfall season. The phenomenon is expected to bring both intense rainfall and prolonged dry spells, depending on the region. These changes could lead to flooding in some areas and drought in others, raising concerns about food security and water availability.
Meanwhile, Kenya’s foreign exchange reserves have reached Sh1.97 trillion, providing a financial cushion ahead of the expected weather challenges. This amount is equivalent to six months of import cover, surpassing the central bank’s requirement of at least four months. The reserves are seen as a key resource to manage potential disruptions caused by the erratic weather.
Authorities are closely monitoring the situation, with experts warning that the combination of El Niño and local climate factors could complicate agricultural planning and resource management. The government is preparing contingency measures to address both flood risks and drought impacts, ensuring communities are better equipped to handle the challenges ahead.
